Monday, 11 October 2021

Joe Biden’s defense and foreign policy triad: Contingent diplomacy, Conditional engagement, and Over-the-horizon strikes

The Remarks by President Biden on the End of the War in Afghanistan already outlined what will be three of the pillars of American Defense and Foreign Policy for years to com: Contingent diplomacy, Conditional engagement, and Over-the-horizon strikes. These principles will not be passing priorities, as they partly address political sentiments of a nation in transition as they adapt to a multipolar world and a growingly fractured geopolitical landscape. However, the grand strategy is to lay down the groundwork needed for a possible confrontation with China. For instance, with AUKUS the U.S. will be establishing three (forward engagement) comparatively equidistant bases of operations in strategic world spots. Will the three outlined pillars withstand the stress caused by such an event? That is a question that no one can currently answer, not even Biden himself.

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